Gold bears have the upper hand while below the 100-hour SMA pivotal hurdle
From a technical perspective, the precious metal holds below the 100-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA), keeping the near-term bias bearish despite the recent rebound from lower levels. Adding to this, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains in positive territory, but its latest reading at 3.32 hints at waning upside momentum. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) around 51.7 suggests only modest bullish pressure rather than a decisive trend.

This, in turn, makes it prudent to wait for acceptance below the $4,500 psychological

US DOLLAR PRICE TODAY
The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

🟡 Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD eyes key $4,500 support

Gold (XAU/USD) remains under bearish pressure as price trades below the 100-hour SMA near $4,625.

Traders are closely watching the key $4,500 support zone, while momentum indicators suggest upside strength is weakening.

A break below $4,480 could trigger further downside pressure, while bulls need a strong move above $4,625 to regain momentum.

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Psychological challenges in trading

Mark Douglas, author of "Trading in the Zone" and "The Disciplined Trader," relates many of the challenges of trading to the inner psychology and emotions of the individual trader. The main psychological challenges are:

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What happened yesterday
In the US-Iran war, Tehran has submitted a new response to the latest US proposal via Pakistan, though mediators warn the ceasefire is "on life support". Brent Crude slipped around 2% to USD109.8/bbl in early Asian trading after President Trump said he had paused a planned large‑scale strike on Iran to allow time for negotiations aimed at ending the war in the Middle East. Yet Trump insists the US remains ready to act if talks fail. At the same time, Washington extended a sanctions waiver on Russian seaborne crude, helping stabilise physical supply, while record US reserve draws have pushed inventor

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